The monsoon trough has now shifted northward, bringing increased rainfall over northern and central Indian states such as Punjab, Haryana, Uttar Pradesh and Bihar.

At the same time, intense rain is forecast across Kerala, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh, driven by cyclonic circulations over South Peninsula and the Bay of Bengal.

Weather experts expect heavy to very heavy rainfall, with isolated extremely heavy downpours in parts of Kerala, coastal and interior Karnataka, and coastal Andhra Pradesh & Rayalaseema.

Thunderstorms, lightning, squalls and gusty winds are also likely in southern regions.

While this pattern boosts soil moisture and benefits agriculture, it also raises concerns for flood or waterlogging, especially in low‑lying areas.