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Monsoon in Goa result in a lot of rains. In fact, this particular September, Goa has been raining quite well for the past 15 days or so.

Moreover, since September 8, the state has seen rain every day. In the month of September, Goa has recorded 452 mm so far against the monthly average of 304 mm.

Now also, we can expect decent showers in Goa for the remaining days of September. We can see some heavy showers as well in a few areas. As far as the last 24 hours are concerned, Goa recorded 40 mm of rain.

These rains will be attributed to the east-west trough which is in proximity to the region. More so, a Cyclonic Circulation is over the Konkan coast and Goa and will remain there for the next two to three days. Thus, good rains are expected over the state and the month will close on a wet note.

There are a few days left in September and now we can see some rains over Mumbai for the rest of the month. Rains will be mostly moderate and isolated heavy in pockets for both today and tomorrow. Thereafter, on September 29 and 30, rainfall will become light.

An east-west trough is extending from North Coastal Andhra Pradesh across Telangana right up to Konkan. The proximity of the trough from Mumbai will give rain. A Cyclonic Circulation is also developing by tomorrow embedded in the trough itself. Thus, rains will be seen over Mumbai until the end of the month of varied intensity.

In fact, the withdrawal process of the southwest monsoon has begun from parts of Rajasthan and in a few days, the capital city of Delhi will also follow suit. However, the withdrawal will be late this year as it was in the past two years as well. Delhi and the NCR region's Monsoon withdrawal date is September 25.

However, as far as humidity is concerned, we can expect humid conditions to reduce slightly and pleasant conditions in the evening as well as morning hours. Afternoons however will remain slightly sultry in nature.

With the withdrawal process already beginning over Rajasthan, change in weather conditions will be seen over Delhi as well with low clouds, drop in humidity levels and absence of rainfall activity. Such weather conditions will continue even after the monsoon withdraws from Delhi.

Starting with an 11% rainfall deficit compared to the long-term average (LPA), the situation has gradually improved but at a slow pace.

Over the course of September, the deficit reduced from 8% to 6%, with anything above 4% of LPA being considered below normal. In the initial months, June had a 10% deficit, which was compensated by a 13% surplus in July.

The monsoon was at 105% of LPA at the season's halfway point but took a significant hit in August, with a 35% shortfall. However, September has seen a remarkable recovery, thanks to factors like the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) and Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO), countering the influence of El Nino.

As the month nears its end, a 2% deficit needs to be offset for the monsoon season to reach 'normal' status. The outcome remains uncertain, with the monsoon likely to conclude either at the higher end of 'below normal' or the lower end of 'normal'.

In the northeastern parts of the country, including Assam, Arunachal Pradesh, Sikkim, West Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand, and north Chhattisgarh, there's a possibility of experiencing moderate to heavy rain, so it's advisable to be prepared for wet conditions during the celebrations.

Moving to other regions, Vidarbha, Telangana, Konkan and Goa, Marathwada, Karnataka, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Lakshadweep, and Uttarakhand may witness light to moderate rain with occasional heavy spells. It's essential to keep an eye on the skies in these areas.

For those celebrating in East Rajasthan, parts of Uttar Pradesh, Rayalaseema, Tamil Nadu, and coastal Andhra Pradesh, expect light to moderate rain, which may add a refreshing touch to the festivities.

Lastly, in west Uttar Pradesh, coastal Karnataka, and Saurashtra and Kutch, light rain is possible, so you might want to have your umbrellas handy just in case.

Stay safe and enjoy the festivities!