Monsoon activity is likely to remain subdued across Gujarat and Rajasthan, despite significant rainfall deficits in parts of both states.

As of August 27, Gujarat has an 8% seasonal rainfall surplus. However, Saurashtra and Kutch remain 29% deficient. West and East Rajasthan are also facing deficits of 22% and 20%, respectively.

Several districts of West Rajasthan are experiencing drought-like conditions, raising concerns for standing crops.

No major weather system is expected over the northeast Arabian Sea, while the developing Bay of Bengal system may only reach northeast Madhya Pradesh and southeast Uttar Pradesh.

Isolated light rain may continue over Gujarat. Some scattered showers are also possible over East Rajasthan and eastern Gujarat during the first week of September, but widespread relief remains unlikely.